Sunday, November 11, 2012


Synoptics:

Winds aloft will be northwesterly early Monday morning shifting northerly by midday and northwesterly flow again on Tuesday. A small trough will pass through the area overnight tonight which will increase turbulence that will decrease on Monday morning.

Models:

SREF: 15Z SREF run shows westerly hub height winds in the early morning becoming more southerly by 11am and into much of Tuesday.  It is important to note that models have previously been a few hours late in direction shifts for the wind site.

NAM: NAM via Bufkit is suggesting high surface westerly wind speeds on Monday morning, decreasing and becoming more southwesterly around noon. Wind speeds should look similar tomorrow morning to what we are seeing today; averaging around 8-9m/s. Bufkit is also showing westerly winds at about 5-7m/s on Tuesday morning becoming more northwesterly in the afternoon and slowing down to around 3-5m/s.

ECMWF: European model showing southwesterly winds on Monday morning continuing into early Tuesday morning. Northwesterly flow will return around 12z on Tuesday and continue for much of the day.

Remainder of the week:

Southwesterly flow on Wednesday. On Thursday we should see northeasterly flow continuing into Friday. We may see northwesterly flow again next Saturday.

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